A time series → its power spectrum (PSD) → its Allan deviation. Mix three kinds of noise and watch when averaging stops helping.
The question: you averaged your phone’s accelerometer for longer and longer — why did the reading stop getting better? Build a recipe with the presets and sliders (or load the exercise trace), then watch plot ③ — the Allan deviation.
Got a feel for it? Step to 2 · Notice →
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You just saw the Allan deviation fall, flatten, then rise as you add pink and random-walk noise. In your own words: why does averaging eventually stop helping — and why doesn’t more data fix it?
Averaging beats down independent fluctuations: N independent white-noise samples shrink the mean’s uncertainty as 1/√N, so the Allan deviation falls with slope −½. But pink noise is correlated across time — long stretches drift together, so averaging over a longer window can’t cancel them; the curve flattens into a flicker floor. Random-walk noise is worse: the longer you wait, the further the value has wandered from where it started, so averaging over a long window actually adds error — the curve turns up with slope +½. The minimum between the two is the optimal averaging time: average that long and no longer. More raw data doesn’t move a drift-limited floor; only a better sensor (or modelling/removing the drift) does.
White noise: samples are independent, so averaging m of them shrinks the mean’s standard
deviation by √m. With τ = m/fs, that is σ(τ) ∝ τ−1/2; the flat power spectrum
(slope 0) is the frequency-domain face of the same fact. This −½ line is the
standard quantum limit 1/√N when the “samples” are independent quanta (→ anchor 3).
Flicker / pink: power ∝ 1/f means fluctuations are correlated across all timescales —
a longer average can’t cancel what drifts with it, so the Allan deviation goes flat (the floor).
Random walk: the value is the running sum of little kicks (power ∝ 1/f²); the longer you wait,
the further it has wandered, so averaging over a long window adds error and σ(τ) ∝ τ+1/2.
The bathtub minimum is where the −½ and +½ lines cross.
What good looks like:
Logbook (one entry): Tried · Stuck (where/how long) · Hub resource used · Changed my mind because… · Still unclear.